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Live: General Election 2024 – A Tight Race

LATEST UPDATE:

14:35pm

Polling stations across Ireland remain open for the general election, with voting scheduled to conclude at 10 PM. The Irish Times plans to release an exit poll immediately after polls close, which will provide an early indication of the election outcome.

Fine Gael leading with approximately 22% support, followed closely by Fianna Fáil at 21% and Sinn Féin at 19%. Support for independent candidates and smaller parties has also been notable, collectively garnering around 20% of voter support.

13:08pm

Polling stations opened at 7 a.m. and will close at 10 p.m.

The election features a close contest among the three main political parties:

  • Fine Gael, led by Taoiseach Simon Harris, holds approximately 20% support.
  • Fianna Fáil, under Micheál Martin, leads slightly with about 21% support.
  • Sinn Féin, headed by Mary Lou McDonald, is also around 20% support.

12:10pm

Pre-election polls indicated a tight race among the major parties:

  • Fine Gael: Approximately 20% support
  • Fianna Fáil: Around 21% support
  • Sinn Féin: Close to 20% support

These figures suggest a highly competitive election outcome.

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10:05am

The 2024 election sees Ireland’s political heavyweights—Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil, and Sinn Féin—competing fiercely for dominance. Recent polls highlight the tight nature of the race:

  • Fianna Fáil: Slightly ahead with 21% of voter support, leveraging its leadership in the current coalition government.
  • Sinn Féin: Holding a strong position at 20%, aiming to capitalise on its surge in popularity in recent years.
  • Fine Gael: Also polling at 20%, the party seeks to retain its coalition role and counter the rise of Sinn Féin.

Smaller parties and independent candidates are also expected to play a significant role, particularly in forming a coalition government.

Key Issues Driving the Election

  1. Housing Crisis:
    The housing shortage remains one of the most pressing concerns for voters. Rising rents, limited availability, and affordability issues have put immense pressure on the government.
  2. Immigration Challenges:
    The arrival of nearly 100,000 Ukrainian refugees and other migrants has added complexity to Ireland’s social fabric. While the government’s policies have been largely supportive, backlash from certain voter groups has made immigration a contentious issue.
  3. Cost of Living:
    High inflation and increased living costs continue to dominate voter concerns, with all major parties promising measures to alleviate financial pressures.

Coalition Building: A Likely Outcome

Given the tight race, no single party is expected to secure a majority. Analysts predict that forming a government will require significant coalition-building efforts.

  • The Current Coalition: Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael aim to continue their partnership without Sinn Féin, despite criticism of their handling of housing and immigration policies.
  • Smaller Parties and Independents: Groups like the Green Party and independents, including far-right candidates focusing on anti-immigration platforms, could play kingmaker roles.

The Role of Independent Candidates

This election has seen a rise in independent candidates, some aligning with far-right ideologies. Their focus on anti-immigration rhetoric appeals to certain segments of the electorate, especially those frustrated by government policies. However, their potential influence on policy remains uncertain.

What Happens After Polls Close?

Polling stations across Ireland will close at 10:00 p.m. local time. Exit polls are expected shortly thereafter, providing an early glimpse into voter preferences.

  • Vote Counting: Counting will begin soon after polls close, but the final results may take a few days to emerge.
  • Government Formation: With a likely coalition outcome, negotiations to form a government could extend for weeks.

The 2024 Irish general election represents a critical moment for the nation, as voters tackle significant social and economic challenges through the ballot box. The tight race among the major parties and the emergence of smaller players underline the complexity of the political landscape.

As Ireland waits for the results, the focus remains on how the next government will address the pressing issues of housing, immigration, and the cost of living. Stay tuned for updates as this pivotal election unfolds.

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